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Our TOP PICK ROI for the ENTIRE Meet was +12%!

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THUR AUG 16th  (please note, in our actual report, each race appears much cleaner in font, bolded, with color coding, etc....we post our analysis sometimes on twitter, go see us there to view how the report looks in our report  @TopRaceReports)

FIRST RACE: The opener is a Maiden Special Weight at a mile on the TURF. Top selection is UNUSUAL RIDER (#3) for Puype, making his debut today, and let’s be rational, Puype debuts in a MSW, with very slow drills showing, giving a leg up to Van Dyke. If he was as bad as the drills would indicate, he wouldn’t be spotted here, nor would Drayden be aboard, plain and simple. Also note, this one’s dam, Lady Railrider, she was in the money in 26 of 35 herself, with three foals to date, all winners so far, including this one’s half sister Fiery Lady, who won her first race when starting for the third time, which also coincided with her stretching out on the turf. Not expecting any speed, but we ARE looking for a solid final ¼. KID KOIL (#2) was given a poor ride by Pedroza last time out, racing up along the rail on the backside, as opposed to showing patience in behind runners before looking for first run turning for home. From this two hole, we’re expecting a ground saving group while showing speed today, likely a much more patient trip, able to find an easier breathing rhythm without the stress of multiple runners pushing him early, offering a contrary running style to the top choice.

Hot / Cold Race Trends: 10 of the last 12 races run over this mile turf distance, have been won by MIDPACK types, within 2 ¼ to 5 ¾ lengths at the half mile pole.

WCHR Maiden Power Rating: - 3.00 (weak group)

Win Contenders (order of preference): 3-2

X Out Runners (eliminating on the win end): 1

Negative Notes:

1  Nice Haircut - Ran at a mile on the turf two races back, five furlongs on the main track last time out, and now back to a turf mile. Get feeling they’re not sure what this one wants?

First Timers:

5  Forestation - Hunch is that they’ll look for the lead, but with Pedroza down in the two hole, getting a lead in which he can relax first time out, isn’t likely. Looking to beat.

TOP PICK: UNUSUAL RIDER (#3  4-1 Van Dyke) Debut

SECOND CHOICE: KID KOIL (#2  7-2 Pedroza)