FIRST RACE: The opener is listed as a 150,000 claimer at five furlongs, but we usually scoff at these 100,000 plus maiden claimers, I mean, think about it, if the horse was bought for 3,000, as was the case with the rail horse ISTAIN MAN, sure, that type of claim would make their day financially, but if connections spent six figures, as we see with the #3 horse THANKS MR. EIDSON, a 210,000 purchase, why are they now willing to sell for 150,000? Point being, these races are usually filled with cheap runners whose connections are shooting for the moon, along with more expensive types, willing to part for a price in the range of what they paid, but if the future was thought to be bright for the horse, you don’t do the dirty work, pay the bills for months, anticipate the debut, and then say “okay, you can take him for what we paid for him” on the very day he actually makes it the races. The next time you come across one of these six figure claimers, keep tabs on what horses end up having a solid career, as they’re few and far between. Okay, top selection here in this one, is THANKS MR EIDSON (#3). In his debut, he was defeated by Raging Whiskey, who was sent to the Spa and ran third in the Sanford last week. Last time out, this guy was in an incredibly tough spot for the final ⅜ of a mile, in between the Baffert favorite, and the Glatt winner, yet, this one held his ground, switched leads on cue, and wasn’t intimidated. This group is much less than that pair, and with the all important experience, adding blinkers, back right on schedule, he’s extremely easy to find. Keith Desormeaux has the two outside runners in here, and immediately most handicappers who zero in on the one ridden by Keith’s brother, Kent, but often he’s actually not aboard the more live runner, but rather, Kent is riding the horse in need of a bit stronger handling, looking to teach the horse prior to the debut, and during that first effort, meaning, don’t put too much stock into the “which one is his brother riding?” notion. Capable Cedillo is riding the other one, and that’s GORKY PARK (#6), spotted confidently by Keith, likely finishing down the lane with a worktab stressing the final ⅛ rather than speed throughout, and we’ll also note, this one’s the ninth foal out of the dam, with 7 of the other 8, winners on the track.
Hot / Cold Race Trends: none
Win Contenders (order of preference): 3-6-2
X Out Runners (eliminating on the win end): none
1 Istain Man - 3,000 purchase, love the Dixie Downs prep work, a fantastic spot for young runners to prepare, with its red rock dirt surface, very giving, again, always like to see the ‘DxD’ in a workout line.
2 Georgian Road - Baffert back with Garcia, ala 2008, along with a solid work tab here. Seems pretty viable, and we need to include.
4 Mysterious Stones - Fourth foal out of this dam, and from the other three, two of the three never ran, and the other was 0 for 3. Pretty tough to back here today.
TOP PICK: THANKS MR EIDSON (#3 5-2 Arroyo)
SECOND CHOICE: GORKY PARK (#6 6-1 Cedillo)